USSR vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 1
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 0
SWE
55%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
37%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
SUN
1 - 2
ENG
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1973 |
SUN
2 - 0
FRA
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1973 |
MEX
1 - 2
CHI
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1973 |
CHI
3 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1973 |
CHI
3 - 1
ARG
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1973 |
ARG
5 - 4
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |