USSR vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 3
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
CSK
1 - 2
SUN
71%
16%
12%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
PRK
1 - 1
CHI
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
ITA
2 - 0
CHI
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1966 |
DDR
5 - 2
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
CHI
0 - 1
MEX
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
CHI
2 - 0
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |