USSR vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
YUG
0 - 1
SUN
59%
24%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
DDR
1 - 0
SUN
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 0
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 1
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 0
SWE
55%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
CSK
3 - 3
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
BGR
0 - 1
CSK
53%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
BRA
1 - 0
CSK
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 0
CSK
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
CSK
1 - 0
SCO
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |