USSR vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 4
SUN
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 3
SUN
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
JPN
0 - 3
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1978 |
JPN
1 - 4
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
JPN
1 - 4
SUN
25%
29%
46%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
BGR
1 - 0
DDR
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1979 |
CYP
0 - 1
BGR
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
BGR
0 - 2
NIR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 2
BGR
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |