USSR vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1972 |
BRD
4 - 1
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1972 |
FRA
1 - 3
SUN
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
SUN
3 - 0
YUG
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
YUG
0 - 0
SUN
56%
25%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1972 |
SUN
2 - 0
PER
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1972 |
ESP
3 - 3
BGR
23%
23%
53%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
POL
3 - 0
BGR
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
BGR
3 - 1
POL
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
BGR
1 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
BGR
2 - 1
FRA
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |