USSR vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
SUN
4 - 0
IDN
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 0
IDN
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BRD
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 81 | 50 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
FRA
2 - 1
SUN
79%
12%
9%
|
31 | 78 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 1
HUN
15%
16%
69%
|
31 | 91 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1956 |
BGR
6 - 1
GBR
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
BGR
3 - 1
DDR
88%
9%
4%
|
66 | 13 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1956 |
BGR
2 - 0
ROU
49%
22%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
POL
1 - 2
BGR
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
DDR
1 - 0
BGR
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 8 | 56 | 0 |