USSR vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
SUN
6 - 0
DEN
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SUN
2 - 1
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
SUN
3 - 1
GRC
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 0
AUT
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
BGR
0 - 0
SUN
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1965 |
SWE
1 - 2
BRA
49%
22%
30%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1965 |
POR
0 - 0
BRA
24%
22%
54%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1965 |
ALG
0 - 3
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1965 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARG
65%
18%
16%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
BRA
2 - 0
BRD
74%
15%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |