USSR vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1986 |
SUN
2 - 0
CAN
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1986 |
FRA
1 - 1
SUN
54%
23%
23%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1986 |
SUN
6 - 0
HUN
63%
20%
18%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1986 |
SUN
0 - 0
FIN
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
ROU
2 - 1
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 2
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
BGR
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |