USSR vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
BGR
0 - 0
SUN
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
YUG
1 - 1
SUN
77%
14%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
ALG
2 - 2
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
AUT
1 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
DDR
4 - 1
SUN
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
AUT
1 - 1
DDR
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
FRA
1 - 2
AUT
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
AUT
1 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
AUT
3 - 2
YUG
43%
23%
34%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1964 |
AUT
0 - 2
URU
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |