USSR vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
SUN
2 - 2
FIN
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
ROU
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
GRC
1 - 0
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
SUN
1 - 0
DDR
61%
23%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 1979 |
FIN
1 - 1
SUN
19%
26%
55%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
BRD
5 - 1
WAL
85%
12%
3%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
BRD
2 - 1
ARG
65%
21%
14%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
ISL
1 - 3
BRD
3%
15%
82%
|
92 | 51 | 41 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
IRL
1 - 3
BRD
19%
25%
56%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
WAL
0 - 2
BRD
19%
26%
56%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |