USSR vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
CAN
1 - 2
SUN
43%
26%
30%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1976 |
AUT
1 - 2
SUN
45%
28%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
HUN
1 - 1
SUN
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 2
CSK
55%
26%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
CSK
2 - 0
SUN
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
CAN
1 - 3
PRK
82%
11%
7%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
BGR
3 - 0
PRK
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1974 |
MAS
2 - 1
PRK
78%
13%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1974 |
PRK
2 - 2
MMR
36%
23%
41%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1974 |
ISR
2 - 0
PRK
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |