Ukraine vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2000 |
ENG
2 - 0
UKR
90%
9%
2%
|
84 | 98 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
BGR
0 - 1
UKR
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
UKR
1 - 1
SVN
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
SVN
2 - 1
UKR
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
RUS
1 - 1
UKR
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
ROU
1 - 1
POL
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
NED
3 - 1
POL
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
POL
0 - 0
FIN
72%
19%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
HUN
0 - 0
POL
38%
27%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
FRA
1 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |