Ukraine vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
UKR
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
UKR
2 - 1
POR
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
NIR
0 - 1
UKR
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1996 |
UKR
5 - 2
LTU
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
TUR
3 - 2
UKR
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
POL
2 - 1
MDA
85%
11%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
IDN
1 - 2
MDA
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
MDA
1 - 3
ITA
8%
23%
69%
|
70 | 96 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
MDA
0 - 3
ENG
6%
19%
75%
|
70 | 95 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
TUR
2 - 0
MDA
82%
12%
7%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |