Ukraine vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
65.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
CRO
4 - 0
UKR
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
MLI
0 - 1
UKR
33%
27%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
UKR
3 - 0
EST
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
UKR
0 - 0
SVN
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
KOR
2 - 0
UKR
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
ITA
4 - 1
EST
92%
7%
1%
|
96 | 54 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1994 |
ITA
3 - 1
TUR
74%
19%
7%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRO
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
6%
21%
74%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
SVN
1 - 1
ITA
8%
22%
70%
|
96 | 73 | 23 | -1 |