Ukraine vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BIH
1 - 2
UKR
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
UKR
0 - 0
ITA
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MLT
1 - 3
UKR
11%
21%
68%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UKR
2 - 0
MKD
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
UKR
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ISR
1 - 4
ISL
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
HND
0 - 2
ISL
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GTM
0 - 1
ISL
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SVK
4 - 2
ISL
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |