Ukraine vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
ALB
0 - 1
UKR
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1997 |
UKR
1 - 0
CYP
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
UKR
1 - 0
MDA
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
UKR
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
UKR
2 - 1
POR
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
NIR
0 - 0
POR
34%
30%
36%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1997 |
NIR
3 - 0
BEL
32%
29%
40%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
ITA
2 - 0
NIR
73%
19%
8%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
NIR
2 - 0
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
GER
1 - 1
NIR
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |