Ukraine vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
59.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LTU
2 - 0
UKR
28%
31%
41%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
UKR
5 - 0
FRO
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SCO
3 - 1
UKR
58%
26%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
UKR
1 - 2
ITA
19%
26%
54%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GEO
1 - 1
UKR
33%
30%
37%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 2
MAR
79%
16%
5%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 0
LTU
82%
14%
4%
|
99 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 6
FRA
12%
23%
65%
|
99 | 52 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
FRA
0 - 1
SCO
78%
16%
6%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 0
FRA
34%
29%
37%
|
100 | 97 | 3 | 0 |