Ukraine vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 0
UKR
75%
19%
6%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
UKR
3 - 2
GEO
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
UKR
6 - 0
AZE
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 0
UKR
85%
12%
3%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2006 |
SUI
0 - 0
UKR
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SCO
1 - 0
FRA
15%
25%
60%
|
89 | 100 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
LTU
1 - 2
SCO
22%
29%
49%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SCO
6 - 0
FRO
80%
15%
5%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
JPN
0 - 0
SCO
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
SCO
5 - 1
BGR
42%
29%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |