WC Play Offs Final
Global 1-3
Ukraine vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
CRO
2 - 0
UKR
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
ARM
0 - 2
UKR
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
UKR
1 - 0
ALB
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
UKR
0 - 0
GER
14%
24%
63%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1997 |
UKR
1 - 1
ARM
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
CRO
2 - 0
UKR
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
SVN
1 - 3
CRO
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
DEN
3 - 1
CRO
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
CRO
3 - 2
BIH
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1997 |
CRO
1 - 1
TUR
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |