Ukraine vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
EST
0 - 1
UKR
16%
24%
60%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
UKR
0 - 2
ITA
11%
24%
65%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
CRO
4 - 0
UKR
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
MLI
0 - 1
UKR
33%
27%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
UKR
3 - 0
EST
83%
13%
5%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
CRO
2 - 0
SVN
79%
14%
8%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 0
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
CRO
4 - 0
UKR
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRO
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
CRO
2 - 0
LTU
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |