WC Play Offs Final
Global 2-5
Ukraine vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16%
78.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
18%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
POL
1 - 1
UKR
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
UKR
3 - 0
ARM
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
BLR
0 - 2
UKR
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
LVA
0 - 1
UKR
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
UKR
1 - 1
WAL
47%
24%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
GER
0 - 0
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
GER
1 - 5
ENG
47%
25%
28%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
HUN
2 - 5
GER
24%
26%
50%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
ALB
0 - 2
GER
14%
23%
64%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
FIN
2 - 2
GER
20%
24%
56%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | -1 |