Tuvalu vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuvalu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FIJ
16 - 0
TUV
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
TON
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
COK
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SOL
2 - 0
NCL
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
TAH
0 - 0
NCL
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |