Turkey vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2008 |
TUR
1 - 0
SVK
61%
23%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BLR
2 - 2
TUR
27%
28%
46%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
TUR
0 - 0
SWE
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
TUR
1 - 0
BIH
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 2
TUR
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
URU
2 - 2
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 1
URU
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
69%
20%
11%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |