Turkey vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
TUR
83%
13%
4%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
IRL
4 - 2
TUR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
TUR
1 - 1
ROU
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
MLT
0 - 3
TUR
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
TUR
1 - 2
DDR
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRC
81%
14%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
IRN
0 - 1
SUN
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ROU
0 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
SUN
10 - 2
FIN
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
BRD
1 - 0
SUN
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |