Turkey vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
MLT
0 - 3
TUR
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
TUR
1 - 2
DDR
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
TUR
0 - 1
AUT
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
BGR
3 - 1
TUR
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1977 |
CSK
1 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ROU
4 - 6
YUG
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 0
ROU
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
ROU
6 - 1
GRC
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1977 |
IRN
0 - 0
ROU
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
YUG
0 - 2
ROU
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |