Turkey vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1925 |
TUR
1 - 2
POL
65%
19%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1925 |
TUR
1 - 2
SUN
86%
10%
5%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1925 |
ROU
1 - 2
TUR
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
TUR
2 - 1
BGR
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1924 |
SUN
3 - 0
TUR
15%
22%
64%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
ROU
6 - 1
BGR
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1925 |
BGR
2 - 4
ROU
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1925 |
ROU
1 - 2
TUR
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1924 |
CSK
4 - 1
ROU
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1924 |
NED
6 - 0
ROU
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |