Turkey vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1974 |
TUR
0 - 1
AUT
27%
26%
48%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1974 |
BGR
5 - 1
TUR
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1974 |
PAK
2 - 2
TUR
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
TUR
2 - 0
SUI
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
TUR
0 - 0
ESP
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
IRL
3 - 0
SUN
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CHI
1 - 2
IRL
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1974 |
URU
2 - 0
IRL
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BRA
2 - 1
IRL
83%
13%
4%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
IRL
1 - 0
POL
24%
25%
52%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |