Turkey vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
TUR
3 - 1
GEO
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
TUR
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 0
TUR
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
AUT
6 - 1
TUR
49%
24%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 0
TUR
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CZE
75%
15%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
IRL
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
POR
4 - 2
FIN
85%
11%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SVN
2 - 0
POR
11%
20%
69%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | -1 |