Turkey vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ALB
3 - 0
TUR
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
SUI
4 - 0
TUR
60%
20%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1971 |
POL
5 - 1
TUR
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
TUR
0 - 3
BRD
27%
28%
46%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
TUR
2 - 1
ALB
59%
21%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
BRD
0 - 0
POL
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1971 |
ESP
0 - 2
POL
25%
22%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
POL
1 - 3
BRD
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1971 |
POL
5 - 1
TUR
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
ALB
1 - 1
POL
19%
21%
60%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |