Turkey vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1964 |
ITA
7 - 1
TUR
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
TUR
2 - 2
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
TUR
0 - 0
ROU
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1963 |
GER
3 - 0
TUR
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
POL
0 - 0
TUR
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
POL
2 - 1
CSK
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1964 |
POL
0 - 1
ITA
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
POL
3 - 1
IRL
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
GRC
3 - 1
POL
40%
22%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
POL
0 - 0
TUR
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |