Turkey vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1956 |
TUR
0 - 1
BRA
37%
23%
41%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
POR
3 - 1
TUR
46%
20%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
TUR
3 - 1
HUN
19%
18%
63%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
TUR
3 - 1
POR
58%
19%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
YUG
5 - 1
TUR
78%
13%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
POL
5 - 0
FIN
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
POL
5 - 3
NOR
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
POL
1 - 2
BGR
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1956 |
POL
0 - 2
DDR
90%
7%
3%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1956 |
HUN
4 - 1
POL
91%
6%
3%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | 0 |