Turkey vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1996 |
TUR
0 - 3
DEN
34%
28%
39%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
TUR
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1996 |
TUR
0 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
FIN
1 - 2
TUR
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
EST
0 - 0
TUR
11%
23%
67%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
ROU
3 - 1
MDA
91%
7%
2%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
MDA
2 - 2
UKR
43%
25%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
MDA
3 - 2
GEO
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
GER
6 - 1
MDA
93%
5%
1%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
WAL
1 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |