Turkey vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
51.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
TUR
4 - 0
ALG
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1973 |
ITA
0 - 0
TUR
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
TUR
3 - 0
LUX
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
LUX
2 - 0
TUR
39%
21%
39%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
ALG
1 - 0
TUR
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1973 |
ITA
0 - 0
TUR
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
SUI
0 - 0
ITA
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
LUX
0 - 4
ITA
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ITA
3 - 1
YUG
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
BGR
1 - 1
ITA
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |