Turkey vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 0
TUR
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NED
2 - 1
TUR
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
AUT
1 - 2
TUR
53%
22%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CZE
1 - 2
TUR
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
POR
17%
21%
61%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ISL
2 - 0
MNE
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
NED
4 - 0
ISL
85%
10%
4%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 1
ISL
82%
13%
6%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
UKR
2 - 1
ISL
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ISR
1 - 4
ISL
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |