Turkey vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
YUG
4 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUI
32%
26%
43%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
TUR
1 - 1
POL
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
TUR
1 - 3
ROU
25%
25%
49%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
ENG
5 - 0
TUR
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
79%
16%
6%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1986 |
NIR
0 - 3
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
NIR
1 - 2
ESP
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
ALG
1 - 1
NIR
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
NIR
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |