Turkey vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
NIR
4 - 1
TUR
63%
19%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1968 |
TUR
0 - 2
BGR
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
POL
8 - 0
TUR
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
TUR
0 - 0
TUN
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1967 |
PAK
4 - 7
TUR
42%
23%
36%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
NIR
4 - 1
TUR
63%
19%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1968 |
ISR
2 - 3
NIR
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
WAL
2 - 0
NIR
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
ENG
2 - 0
NIR
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
NIR
1 - 0
SCO
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |