Turkey vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
TUR
2 - 0
ROU
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1958 |
TUR
1 - 0
CSK
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
TUR
0 - 0
BGR
55%
19%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
ROU
3 - 0
TUR
45%
21%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
BEL
1 - 1
TUR
51%
19%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
NED
2 - 0
SUI
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1958 |
NED
5 - 1
DEN
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BEL
2 - 3
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1958 |
NOR
0 - 0
NED
49%
21%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |