Turkey vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
ISL
2 - 4
TUR
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
MNE
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
3 - 1
ISL
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 0
TUR
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NED
2 - 1
TUR
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 0
MNE
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ISL
2 - 2
WAL
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
MNE
1 - 2
WAL
27%
28%
46%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 0
TUR
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SVK
4 - 0
WAL
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |