Turkey vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
LVA
2 - 3
TUR
10%
21%
69%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
CRO
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 2
TUR
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 1
CZE
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 1
SCO
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 4
ARM
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 0
LVA
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 1
WAL
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
10%
18%
72%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 2
IRN
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |