Turkey vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1973 |
SUI
0 - 0
TUR
62%
19%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
TUR
5 - 2
BGR
29%
25%
47%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
TUR
0 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
52%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
TUR
4 - 0
ALG
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1973 |
ITA
0 - 0
TUR
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1973 |
NED
3 - 2
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1973 |
ESP
3 - 1
GRC
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 3
ESP
31%
28%
41%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1972 |
ESP
2 - 2
YUG
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARG
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |