Turkey vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
TUR
1 - 5
SUI
58%
18%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1951 |
TUR
0 - 2
GER
40%
22%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1951 |
TUR
1 - 0
SWE
42%
21%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
GER
1 - 2
TUR
82%
11%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SWE
3 - 1
TUR
84%
9%
7%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
ESP
6 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
SWE
0 - 0
ESP
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 3
SUI
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1950 |
SWE
3 - 1
ESP
72%
15%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |