Turkey vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1954 |
ESP
4 - 1
TUR
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1953 |
TUR
2 - 2
YUG
43%
22%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
SUI
1 - 2
TUR
51%
19%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1952 |
HUN
7 - 1
TUR
86%
9%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1952 |
TUR
2 - 1
ANT
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1954 |
ESP
4 - 1
TUR
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
ESP
2 - 2
SWE
61%
19%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1953 |
CHI
1 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1953 |
ARG
1 - 0
ESP
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 1
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |