Turkey vs Croatia analysis

Turkey Croatia
81 ELO 85
3.7% Tilt -13.3%
128º General ELO ranking 40º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.9%
Turkey
25.7%
Draw
26.5%
Croatia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
Turkey
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
Croatia
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Turkey
+2%
+2%
Croatia

ELO progression

Turkey
Croatia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Turkey
Turkey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 1996
FIN
Finland
1 - 2
Turkey
TUR
38%
26%
36%
82 71 11 0
29 May. 1996
EST
Estonia
0 - 0
Turkey
TUR
11%
23%
67%
82 50 32 0
01 May. 1996
TUR
Turkey
3 - 2
Ukraine
UKR
74%
16%
10%
81 76 5 +1
09 Apr. 1996
AZE
Azerbaijan
0 - 1
Turkey
TUR
28%
24%
48%
81 64 17 0
26 Mar. 1996
CZE
Czech Republic
3 - 0
Turkey
TUR
66%
19%
15%
82 82 0 -1

Matches

Croatia
Croatia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 1996
IRL
Ireland
2 - 2
Croatia
CRO
71%
18%
11%
85 89 4 0
24 Apr. 1996
ENG
England
0 - 0
Croatia
CRO
88%
9%
3%
85 95 10 0
10 Apr. 1996
CRO
Croatia
4 - 1
Hungary
HUN
51%
22%
27%
84 85 1 +1
26 Mar. 1996
CRO
Croatia
2 - 0
Israel
ISR
71%
17%
12%
84 81 3 0
13 Mar. 1996
CRO
Croatia
3 - 0
South Korea
KOR
50%
23%
27%
84 86 2 0