Turkey vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1974 |
BGR
5 - 1
TUR
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1974 |
PAK
2 - 2
TUR
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
TUR
2 - 0
SUI
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
TUR
0 - 0
ESP
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1973 |
SUI
0 - 0
TUR
62%
19%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
AUT
1 - 0
HUN
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
AUT
2 - 1
WAL
73%
16%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1974 |
AUT
0 - 0
ITA
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
BRA
0 - 0
AUT
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |