Turkey vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1948 |
GRC
1 - 3
TUR
44%
20%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1936 |
TUR
0 - 4
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1936 |
TUR
3 - 3
YUG
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1932 |
TUR
2 - 3
BGR
59%
19%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1931 |
TUR
2 - 0
YUG
84%
11%
6%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
AUT
3 - 2
HUN
56%
19%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
AUT
3 - 1
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
AUT
5 - 1
ITA
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
CSK
3 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
AUT
4 - 3
HUN
54%
20%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |