Turkey vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
TUR
44%
26%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
BIH
1 - 1
TUR
28%
27%
46%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
TUR
4 - 2
EST
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
UKR
0 - 3
TUR
43%
27%
30%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
TUR
67%
21%
11%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ARM
1 - 2
ESP
8%
19%
73%
|
70 | 100 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 1
BEL
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 2
BIH
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ARM
1 - 4
MDA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
ARM
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |