Turkey vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
51%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
TUR
3 - 0
NIR
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
RUS
1 - 0
TUR
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1998 |
ISR
4 - 0
TUR
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
TUR
1 - 4
ALB
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
NED
0 - 0
TUR
80%
15%
6%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
GER
1 - 1
ROU
66%
20%
14%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
MLT
1 - 2
GER
11%
24%
65%
|
95 | 54 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
GER
0 - 3
CRO
78%
14%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1998 |
GER
2 - 1
MEX
71%
17%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1998 |
GER
2 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |