Turkey vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1951 |
TUR
1 - 0
SWE
42%
21%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
GER
1 - 2
TUR
82%
11%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SWE
3 - 1
TUR
84%
9%
7%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
TUR
3 - 2
ISR
54%
19%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1950 |
ISR
5 - 1
TUR
49%
20%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1951 |
IRL
3 - 2
GER
33%
22%
45%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
AUT
0 - 2
GER
61%
18%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
GER
1 - 2
TUR
82%
11%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
40%
21%
39%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |