Turkey vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
55.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUN
29%
30%
41%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1975 |
IRL
4 - 0
TUR
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
ROU
2 - 2
TUR
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
SUI
1 - 1
TUR
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1975 |
SUN
3 - 0
TUR
76%
17%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
BRD
1 - 0
BGR
81%
14%
6%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
BRD
1 - 1
GRC
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1975 |
AUT
0 - 2
BRD
31%
27%
41%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1975 |
BRD
1 - 1
NED
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1975 |
ESP
3 - 2
BRD
6%
19%
76%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |