Turkey vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1966 |
DEN
0 - 0
TUR
69%
17%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1966 |
TUR
4 - 4
BHR
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
IRN
0 - 0
TUR
53%
20%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
CSK
3 - 1
TUR
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
TUR
2 - 1
ROU
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
4 - 2
BRD
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
4 - 0
URU
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
0 - 0
ARG
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |